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Wealth & investment

Average Return Calculator

Compare simple arithmetic averages against geometric compounding returns to see the real growth of your capital and check volatility drag.

Annual Return Rates (%)

Separate percent returns using commas, spaces, tabs, or newlines.

Volatility Drag & Compounding Returns

When looking at stock market index returns or private portfolio statistics, financial institutions often cite arithmetic averages. However, because money compounds, the path of your investment matters. Geometric returns calculate the true growth rate, showing the smooth compound rate required to achieve the final balance.

Comparing Return Types

Arithmetic Average

Calculated as a simple sum divided by count. Useful for projecting a single period's expected return but ignores compounding sequences.

Geometric Compound Return

Accounts for compounding by multiplying the growth factors of each period and taking the n-th root. This is the CAGR of the asset.

Volatility Drag

The difference between the arithmetic and geometric averages. High asset volatility decreases actual compound growth relative to the simple average.

Common Questions & Return Insights

What is the difference between arithmetic and geometric average returns?

The arithmetic average is the simple sum of all returns divided by the number of periods. The geometric average accounts for compounding effects over time. For example, if you make 100% in year one and lose 50% in year two, your arithmetic average is +25%, but you are back to your starting amount, meaning your geometric (actual) return is 0%.

Why is the geometric return usually lower than the arithmetic return?

Geometric returns are pulled down by investment volatility. The larger the ups and downs in your portfolio, the wider the gap between your arithmetic and geometric average returns. This is often referred to as 'volatility drag'.

When should I use the geometric average return?

You should always use the geometric average return when evaluating the actual historical growth rate of an investment over multiple compounding periods. Arithmetic returns are only useful for estimating performance in a single future period.

Is geometric average return the same as CAGR?

Yes. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) is the geometric average return of an investment over a multi-year period. It represents the smooth, annualized rate of return that would have grown the initial capital to the final sum.

What happens if my investment has a 100% loss or worse in a period?

If an investment loses 100% of its value (a return of -100%), the total value drops to zero. Because you cannot compound from zero, the geometric return is mathematically -100%. Losses greater than 100% are not mathematically valid for standard geometric return formulas.

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